Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Jalen Hurts's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 59.6% to 66.8%.
The Tennessee Titans defense has conceded the 4th-most passing touchdowns in the league: 1.73 per game this year.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 48.2% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 31.4 passes in this contest, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.
The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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