Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Jalen Hurts's throwing accuracy has gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 60.3% to 67.5%.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-highest level in the league vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year (72.9%).
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 48.4% red zone pass rate.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 30.8 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.

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