Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 15, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run out of all the games this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Jalen Hurts's throwing accuracy has improved this season, with his Completion% increasing from 60.3% to 68.0%.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 50.5% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 31.2 passes this week, on average: the least of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: least in football.

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