Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2024

Updated Sep 7, 2024 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.48 seconds per snap.
The model projects Jalen Hurts to garner 8.6 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.
Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to run the ball, taking on 29.3% of his team's run game usage last year, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
Jalen Hurts has grinded out 34.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the highest figures in football when it comes to QBs (95th percentile).
Last year, the shaky Green Bay Packers run defense has been gouged for a whopping 129.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 7th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

With a lousy total of 4.0 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (7th percentile), Jalen Hurts ranks among the worst rushing quarterbacks in the NFL last year.

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