Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are expected by our trusted projection set to run 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 67.2 plays per game.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) typically correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
The projections expect Jalen Hurts to accrue 9.7 carries this week, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all QBs.

Favors Under

Jalen Hurts's 40.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks a a noteworthy regression in his running talent over last season's 52.0 mark.
Jalen Hurts's running effectiveness has diminished this season, notching a mere 3.91 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.37 rate last season.
As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Miami's unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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