Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 2:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.9% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 6th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.40 seconds per snap.
This week, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the model to total the most rush attempts out of all QBs with 10.3.
Taking on 29.9% of his offense's carries this year (98th percentile among QBs), Jalen Hurts's mobility makes him a dangerous threat on the ground.

Favors Under

Jalen Hurts has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (38.0) this season than he did last season (52.0).
Jalen Hurts's 3.56 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season signifies a a meaningful drop-off in his rushing ability over last season's 5.37 rate.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, New York's collection of DEs has been great this year, ranking as the 9th-best in the league.

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