Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Eagles are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.63 seconds per play.
The projections expect Jalen Hurts to accrue 11.0 carries in this week's game, on average: the most of all QBs.

Favors Under

Jalen Hurts's rushing effectiveness has worsened this year, totaling just 3.09 yards-per-carry vs a 5.37 rate last year.

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