Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 25, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 1.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 47.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.1 plays per game.

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Jalen Hurts's ground effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging just 3.27 yards-per-carry compared to a 5.37 mark last season.

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