Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 15, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to earn 9.9 carries in this week's game, on average: the most of all QBs.
Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to take off running, accounting for 33.3% of his team's carries this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Eagles rank as the 6th-least run-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 31.2% run rate.
Jalen Hurts's running effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling just 4.61 yards-per-carry compared to a 5.37 rate last year.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles profile as the 6th-best group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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