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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Eagles are overwhelmingly favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to run on 51.9% of their downs: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.

To the extent of a defense's impact on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 5th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

In this week's game, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by the projection model to accumulate the most rush attempts out of all QBs with 11.0.

Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, accounting for 31.1% of his offense's run game usage this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Hurts's 38.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects an impressive decline in his running talent over last season's 52.0 rate.

Jalen Hurts's 4.11 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season conveys a substantial reduction in his rushing ability over last season's 5.37 figure.

The New York Giants defensive tackles project as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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