Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Eagles being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 49.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.
In this contest, Jalen Hurts is expected by our trusted projection set to garner the 3rd-most rush attempts among all QBs with 10.3.
Accounting for 30.8% of his team's carries this year (100th percentile among QBs), Jalen Hurts's mobility marks him as a major threat in the run game.
As it relates to blocking for ball-carriers (and the importance it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles grades out as the 4th-best in football last year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.45 seconds per play.
Jalen Hurts has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (34.0) this year than he did last year (52.0).
Jalen Hurts's 3.83 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season shows a noteable drop-off in his running ability over last season's 5.37 figure.

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