Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to total 9.1 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.
Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to run the ball himself, taking on 31.2% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to QBs.
The Philadelphia O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league last year at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Eagles, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.60 seconds per play.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
Jalen Hurts has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (52.0).

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