Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to run on 46.1% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a staggering 61.3 per game on average).
In this game, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by the predictive model to accumulate the most rush attempts out of all QBs with 9.8.
Making up 29.5% of his team's carries this year (98th percentile among quarterbacks), Jalen Hurts's mobility marks him as a serious threat as a ball-carrier.

Favors Under

Jalen Hurts's 33.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a meaningful diminishment in his rushing skills over last year's 52.0 mark.
Jalen Hurts's ground efficiency has diminished this season, totaling just 3.62 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.37 mark last season.
The Bills linebackers project as the 3rd-best unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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