Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+104/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect Jalen Hurts to accrue 8.7 rush attempts in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.
Making up 28.8% of his offense's carries this year (98th percentile among quarterbacks), Jalen Hurts's mobility marks him as a dangerous weapon as a ball-carrier.
The Eagles O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football last year at blocking for the run game.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 4.50 adjusted yards-per-carry.
The Chiefs safeties profile as the 30th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.83 seconds per snap.
Jalen Hurts's 34.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year represents a material diminishment in his running prowess over last year's 52.0 figure.
Jalen Hurts's 3.70 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season signifies a meaningful regression in his running ability over last season's 5.37 mark.

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