Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 4, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-145/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a huge 13.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to garner 12.0 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Jalen Hurts has rushed for quite a few less yards per game (43.0) this season than he did last season (48.0).
Jalen Hurts's rushing effectiveness has diminished this year, totaling a mere 4.29 yards-per-carry vs a 6.05 rate last year.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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