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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-145/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles are a huge 13.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to garner 12.0 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Jalen Hurts has rushed for quite a few less yards per game (43.0) this season than he did last season (48.0).
  • Jalen Hurts's rushing effectiveness has diminished this year, totaling a mere 4.29 yards-per-carry vs a 6.05 rate last year.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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