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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to earn 11.1 carries in this game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to be much more involved in his offense's run game this week (33.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (20.9% in games he has played).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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