Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a big 17-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to total 10.3 carries this week, on average: the most of all QBs.
Jalen Hurts has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this season (26.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (18.5%).

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The New York Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to run defense.
The Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have used motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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