Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-112/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to garner 11.2 carries in this week's game, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (32.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (25.6% in games he has played).

Favors Under

Jalen Hurts's running effectiveness has worsened this year, compiling a measly 5.23 yards-per-carry compared to a 6.05 rate last year.
The New York Giants defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have used motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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