Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 5th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to accrue 10.9 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this week (34.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (25.3% in games he has played).

Favors Under

Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-least yards in the league (just 82 per game) vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year.
The Tennessee Titans defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best collection of DEs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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