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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to total 11.8 carries in this contest, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jalen Hurts's running efficiency has declined this year, accumulating just 4.55 yards-per-carry compared to a 6.05 figure last year.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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