Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to total 11.8 carries in this contest, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

Jalen Hurts's running efficiency has declined this year, accumulating just 4.55 yards-per-carry compared to a 6.05 figure last year.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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