Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (+107/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 10th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 40.2% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to garner 10.0 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game this week (31.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (23.3% in games he has played).

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Jalen Hurts has rushed for a lot fewer yards per game (40.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).
Jalen Hurts's ground effectiveness has diminished this season, notching just 4.32 yards-per-carry compared to a 6.05 figure last season.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has produced the 4th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding just 4.11 yards-per-carry.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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