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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (+107/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 10th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 40.2% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to garner 10.0 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most of all QBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game this week (31.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (23.3% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Jalen Hurts has rushed for a lot fewer yards per game (40.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).
  • Jalen Hurts's ground effectiveness has diminished this season, notching just 4.32 yards-per-carry compared to a 6.05 figure last season.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has produced the 4th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding just 4.11 yards-per-carry.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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