Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 15, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run out of all the games this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to notch 9.8 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Jalen Hurts has run for a lot fewer yards per game (42.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).
Jalen Hurts's ground effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 4.32 yards-per-carry vs a 6.05 figure last season.
Opposing offenses have run for the 10th-least yards in the league (just 113 per game) versus the Washington Commanders defense this year.
The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 6th-best DE corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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