Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-131/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to total 8.6 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to be a more important option in his offense's run game this week (28.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (18.7% in games he has played).
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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