Jalen Hurts Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing TD

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+117/-156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +137 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 49.1% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 66.0 plays per game.
Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to run the ball near the goal line, accounting for 42.0% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone carries this year (97th percentile among quarterbacks).

Favors Under

Opposing teams have run for the least TDs in the league (0.20 per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
The Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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