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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 15

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jalen Hurts Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+101/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +101.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 52.7% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.

Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to run the ball himself near the end zone, accounting for 39.9% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone carries this year (100th percentile among quarterbacks).

The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year at blocking for rushers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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