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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jalen Hurts Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 52.3% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to run the ball near the end zone, accounting for 41.2% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone rush attempts this year (100th percentile among QBs).

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Giants defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Philadelphia Eagles have used motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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