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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 199.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 199.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 199.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • Jalen Hurts's 69.0% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects an impressive gain in his passing accuracy over last year's 65.9% mark.
  • With a stellar 7.84 adjusted yards-per-target (82nd percentile) this year, Jalen Hurts places among the most efficient passers in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call only 67.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • In this game, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by the predictive model to total the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.5.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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