Jalen Hurts Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Passing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 2, 2024

Updated Sep 17, 2024 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 240.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 137.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).
The Philadelphia offensive line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks profile as the worst group of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by the predictive model to average the fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 35.5.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 32.3 per game) since the start of last season.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in the NFL against the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season (66.5% Adjusted Completion%).

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