Jalen Hurts Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Passing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 253.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 255.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 253.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
With an excellent tally of 249.0 adjusted passing yards per game (75th percentile), Jalen Hurts stands as one of the best quarterbacks in the league this year.
This year, the feeble Washington Commanders defense has conceded a staggering 264.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 5th-most in the NFL.
The Commanders pass defense has displayed bad efficiency this year, yielding 8.85 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-most in football.
As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Washington's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 53.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per play.
The model projects Jalen Hurts to throw 32.3 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-fewest among all QBs.

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