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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 238.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 237.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 238.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.1 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Jalen Hurts's passing accuracy has improved this season, with his Completion% rising from 66.0% to 72.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 1.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects Jalen Hurts to attempt 31.9 passes in this game, on average: the 9th-least of all QBs.

Jalen Hurts's throwing effectiveness has declined this year, totaling a measly 5.80 yards-per-target vs a 7.62 figure last year.

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