Jalen Hurts Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Passing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 245.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 239.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 245.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a staggering 61.3 per game on average).
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Eagles grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.
Jalen Hurts's 69.7% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteworthy boost in his throwing accuracy over last season's 66.0% figure.
With a fantastic 7.46 adjusted yards-per-target (75th percentile) this year, Jalen Hurts rates as one of the most effective quarterbacks in football.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 33.9 per game) this year.
The Bills defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.13 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in the league.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Buffalo's group of CBs has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 6th-best in football.

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