Jalen Hurts Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Passing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 241.5 (+109/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 241.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 241.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Jalen Hurts has thrown for a lot more yards per game (236.0) this year than he did last year (210.0).
Jalen Hurts's passing precision has been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 59.6% to 66.8%.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a big 17-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 48.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 26.7 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-least of all QBs.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest rate in the league versus the New York Giants defense this year (67.7%).
The New York Giants defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.52 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in football.

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