Jalen Hurts Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Passing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 220.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 230.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 220.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Jalen Hurts has thrown for a lot more yards per game (229.0) this season than he did last season (194.0).
Jalen Hurts's throwing accuracy has gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 60.3% to 67.5%.
Jalen Hurts has been among the best per-play quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 7.89 yards-per-target while grading out in the 85th percentile.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 30.8 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.

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