Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Pass Attempts

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 4, 2022 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a huge 13.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 30.7 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 8th-least in the league.

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