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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 35.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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