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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 15

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+111/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -147.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 28.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.

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