Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Pass Attempts

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+111/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -147.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 28.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.

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