Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Pass Attempts

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.
The Philadelphia Eagles have risked going for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 31.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.
The New York Giants have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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