Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Pass Attempts

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+120/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.
The Philadelphia Eagles have risked going for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 30.8 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.

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