Jalen Hurts Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Completions

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 16, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Eagles this year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average).
The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Jalen Hurts's passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.9% to 69.4%.
The Commanders safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 4 points.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Eagles to pass on 46.6% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the model to run only 64.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.
This week, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by the projection model to have the fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 27.3.
Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Washington Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.6 per game) this year.

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