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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Carries
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the most run-centric team in the NFL (46.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Philadelphia Eagles.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game.

Jalen Hurts has averaged 8.3 rush attempts per game this year, one of the largest rates in the NFL among QBs (98th percentile).

Comprising 25.3% of his team's run game usage this year (96th percentile when it comes to QBs), Jalen Hurts's mobility marks him as a dangerous weapon in Philadelphia's rushing attack.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call only 67.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The Kansas City Chiefs safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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