Jalen Hurts Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 13, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 48.2% of their downs: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The 7th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Eagles this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average).
In this week's game, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by our trusted projection set to earn the 4th-most carries out of all quarterbacks with 8.8.
Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to run the ball, accounting for 27.7% of his team's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among QBs.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are predicted by the model to run just 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best group of DTs in the league this year with their run defense.

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