Jalen Hurts Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The projections expect Jalen Hurts to earn 8.0 carries in this contest, on balance: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.
Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to call his own number, making up 28.6% of his team's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among QBs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football last year in run support.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 1.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Johnson now calling the plays.
The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per snap.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive ends project as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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