Jalen Hurts Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to total 9.1 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.
Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to run the ball himself, taking on 31.2% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to QBs.
The Philadelphia O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league last year at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Eagles, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.60 seconds per play.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Dallas's group of DEs has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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