Jalen Hurts Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 9:31 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to earn 8.5 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the most among all quarterbacks.
Jalen Hurts isn't afraid to call his own number, accounting for 30.7% of his team's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
When it comes to executing run-blocking assignments (and the ramifications it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Eagles grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL last year.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 8th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 41.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.
The 49ers linebackers rank as the best collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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