Jalen Hurts Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a big 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 65.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to garner 12.1 carries in this game, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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