Jalen Hurts Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to accumulate 11.8 carries in this game, on average: the most of all QBs.

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders defensive ends rank as the 5th-best group of DEs in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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