Jalen Hurts Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 20, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to earn 11.1 carries in this game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to be much more involved in his offense's run game this week (33.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (20.9% in games he has played).
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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