Jalen Hurts Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to accumulate 12.3 rush attempts this week, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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