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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+116/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 10th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 40.2% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to garner 10.0 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most of all QBs.

THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game this week (31.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (23.3% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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