Jalen Hurts Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 15, 2022 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run out of all the games this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to notch 9.8 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 6th-best DE corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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